Tom Brevoort, a man who works behind the scenes to make sure that Marvel run like a well-oiled train service operated by a Japanese company, went over to the IGN mansion recently to discuss the details of Siege with the haughty journalist inhabitants. Although he failed to reveal why Siege was called Siege despite not offering a siege (there is a battle happening outside the walls of the floating city; were this a real siege then both sides of the battle would be stuck in their camps for possibly ten months before the besieged side runs out of foor and forms a desperate charge against the insurgents. Of course, this would not be as riveting a comic), he did go so far as to mention that there will be two more reasonably high-profile deaths before the series concludes in April.
Who will these two people be? Well, Brevoort said that neither death would come as a surprise to the readers of the storyline, which means that both victims are likely to be characters maintained solely by Bendis. If he were to kill off anyone who is outside his usual jurisdiction, then obviously that'd be a bit shocking (and Bendis is usually very good about only killing characters he's in charge of, anyway). This means that we're looking mainly at villains. Norman Osborn, The Sentry, and the Dark Avengers have all been extensively written by Bendis, and barely any of them have been seen thus-far in the solicitations for future comics. Moonstone and Daken are the only ones who are guaranteed to survive, as Jeff Parker is going to use the former in Thunderbolts and Daken still hasn't finished with the soon-to-be-concluded Wolverine: Origins series. That leaves Bullseye, Venom, and perhaps Victoria Hand as well.
Another variable to note is that Bendis helped created The Secret Warriors, who are also charging into the storyline as of issue #3. There have been several deals between Marvel writers in the past whereby certain characters are listed as being acceptable cannon fodder, so anyone is allowed to kill them if the storyline is right. An example of this would be Geldoff from Secret Invasion - Christos Gage has a list of all the characters in his 'Avengers: The Initiative' series, with a small black dot next to any of the cast who are expendable. He cultivates his cast, but many of them are only there in case he needs to kill them. Geldoff was such an example, a smalltime character who was killed off by Bendis during the main Secret Invasion storyline. Could Jonathan Hickman have a similar list?
And then there are the heroes. Almost all of them are safe, with one or two interesting exceptions. Hawkeye, Iron Man, Thor, Captains America and Spider-Woman are all safe because they're going to be The Avengers in May, and Spider-Man will never die. Luke Cage is in Thunderbolts, and Mockingbird also seems to be safe. However, Ms Marvel has no security whatsoever. Her solo series was recently cancelled as of issue #50, and that means she reverts back to be solely a Bendis character. It could well be that he'll kill her, as part of his secret initiative to remove all women from The Avengers by 2015. Scarlet Witch, then Wasp, and now Ms Marvel? Could it happen?
Probably not. We're calling for the 'death' of The Sentry (probably as part of a heroic sacrifice) and the death of Norman Osborn. Although, he won't be dead really. He'll be 'killed' in front of TV cameras, but in reality will have survived and been secretly put in a prison somewhere, from which he'll escape in a few years time and become a full-time Spiderman villain once more. That's our bet, and it seems like quite a safe one.
Yes, we realise that we've just spun a lot of speculative nothing into rather a long-winded and unnecessary post, but it's been A REALLY SLOW WEEK FOR NEWS!